{"id":20050,"date":"2020-06-22T14:10:40","date_gmt":"2020-06-22T18:10:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/?p=20050"},"modified":"2025-09-15T18:55:21","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T22:55:21","slug":"the-3-ss-plaguing-your-hvac-customers-part-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/blog\/the-3-ss-plaguing-your-hvac-customers-part-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Same Seasonality Problems, Different Year"},"content":{"rendered":"[vc_row type=&#8221;in_container&#8221; full_screen_row_position=&#8221;middle&#8221; column_margin=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction_tablet=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction_phone=&#8221;default&#8221; scene_position=&#8221;center&#8221; text_color=&#8221;dark&#8221; text_align=&#8221;left&#8221; row_border_radius=&#8221;none&#8221; row_border_radius_applies=&#8221;bg&#8221; overflow=&#8221;visible&#8221; overlay_strength=&#8221;0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=&#8221;left_to_right&#8221; shape_divider_position=&#8221;bottom&#8221; bg_image_animation=&#8221;none&#8221;][vc_column column_padding=&#8221;no-extra-padding&#8221; column_padding_tablet=&#8221;inherit&#8221; column_padding_phone=&#8221;inherit&#8221; column_padding_position=&#8221;all&#8221; column_element_direction_desktop=&#8221;default&#8221; column_element_spacing=&#8221;default&#8221; desktop_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; tablet_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; phone_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color_opacity=&#8221;1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=&#8221;1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=&#8221;none&#8221; column_shadow=&#8221;none&#8221; column_border_radius=&#8221;none&#8221; column_link_target=&#8221;_self&#8221; column_position=&#8221;default&#8221; gradient_direction=&#8221;left_to_right&#8221; overlay_strength=&#8221;0.3&#8243; width=&#8221;1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=&#8221;default&#8221; animation_type=&#8221;default&#8221; bg_image_animation=&#8221;none&#8221; border_type=&#8221;simple&#8221; column_border_width=&#8221;none&#8221; column_border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221;][vc_column_text]The <em>service contractor\u2019s<\/em> business worries have become the <em>distributor&#8217;s<\/em> worries, and vice versa. Your customers\u2019 challenges are pushing you to adapt your HVAC distribution business with their new needs in mind.<\/p>\n<h3>Same <span style=\"text-decoration: line-through;\">Sh*<\/span> Seasonality, Different Day<\/h3>\n<p>Seasonal HVACR demand is quite an elusive (and expensive) feat. Seasonality carries a hefty consequence because of its strong impact on customer experience.<\/p>\n<p>Misalignment of HVAC parts inventory can cause lost business to both your customers and you. Proper <a href=\"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wholesale-distribution-software\/hvacr-plumbing-distributors\/\">forecasting of seasonal HVACR demand<\/a>, on the other hand, comes back to reward you handsomely. There\u2019s that ripple effect again.<\/p>\n<h3>This is nothing new<\/h3>\n<p>It\u2019s just even harder now. Forecasting seasonal demand has always been a thorn in the HVAC supply chain. Now it\u2019s especially tough because the guidelines around lead times, regional uniqueness and supplier constraints have become even blurrier:<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Lead Times: <\/em>The demand is definitely there, evident in that the global <a href=\"https:\/\/brandongaille.com\/47-hvac-industry-statistics-and-trends\/\">projected<\/a> market size for the HVAC industry is <strong>$208.6 billion<\/strong>. The problem is how to predict lead times and communicate accurate information downstream to consumers efficiently, at a time when lead times have been anybody\u2019s guess.<\/li>\n<li><em>Regional Variances:<\/em> HVAC supply chains are highly regionalized in what products people buy, when and how. As an example, just think about the variable efficiency ratings across the U.S. because of regional climate conditions. The southern states <a href=\"https:\/\/brandongaille.com\/47-hvac-industry-statistics-and-trends\/\">average<\/a> an 80% efficiency requirement, while the northern ones often require a 90% rating or higher (U.S. Department of Energy). Tracking all variances in a global supply chain would require a Ph.D. in data science and a huge team of planners with a ton of time on their hands. Got that lying around? Didn\u2019t think so.<\/li>\n<li><em>Minimum Order Quantity:<\/em> Finally, <a href=\"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wholesale-distribution-software\/hvacr-plumbing-distributors\/\">forecasting seasonal HVACR demand<\/a> is complicated because the supply chains in the HVACR industry are highly dictated by exclusive relationships between authorized distributors and service contractors. Customers suffer\u2026 which then makes your business suffer.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Industry expert <a href=\"https:\/\/talkinglogistics.com\/2020\/06\/22\/held-hostage-by-minimum-order-quantity\/\">Adrian Gonzalez<\/a> wrote a story in <em>Talking Logistics<\/em> that probably throws any HVAC distributor into instant PTSD:<\/p>\n<p>A residential end-customer\u2019s AC coil was leaking. The service contractor couldn\u2019t procure a replacement due to a 4-coil minimum for orders set by his supplier (and on upstream to their supplier). The contractor had to break the news to his customer that they\u2019ll have to sit around sweating in 80-degree temperatures until he has at least 3 other customers in need of that coil. After getting the same story from a competitor, the homeowner went online and bought from a distributor out west that had 25 units in stock.<\/p>\n<h3>The Moral of the Story<\/h3>\n<p>Your customer\u2019s loss is your loss. Fix it by getting an <a href=\"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wholesale-distribution-software\/hvacr-plumbing-distributors\/\">HVACR-built supply chain planning solution<\/a> in place to manage seasonality.<\/p>\n<p>An HVAC planning solution like Blue Ridge uses advanced analytics, order cycle optimization and automated replenishment to neutralize the costly impact of seasonality on the HVACR supply chain.<\/p>\n<p>These tools make lead times more predictable, wipe out inefficiencies and inaccuracies in tracking regional demand, reduce risk and improve customer service by keeping close tabs on supplier constraints.<\/p>\n<h3>Next Up:\u00a0 Shortage of Skilled Labor in HVAC<\/h3>\n<p>We continue this series in <a href=\"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/the-3-ss-plaguing-your-hvac-customers-part-3\/\">Part 3<\/a> with how to tackle the shortage of skilled HVAC technicians:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/the-3-ss-plaguing-your-hvac-customers-part-3\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-20068\" src=\"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/hvacr-repair-fridge-300x200.png\" alt=\"wholesale-distribution-hvacr-software\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/the-3-ss-plaguing-your-hvac-customers-part-1\/\">Take me back to Part 1 of this series<\/a><\/p>\n<h3>FREE Resources HVACR Distribution<\/h3>\n<p>There&#8217;s more great info for <a href=\"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wholesale-distribution-software\/hvacr-plumbing-distributors\/\">wholesale distribution HVACR plumbing businesses here<\/a>. Or, you can <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/calendly.com\/raleigh-cassada\/15min\">schedule a free call here<\/a><\/strong> to discuss your specific HVACR distribution challenges and grab some free resources to simplify seasonal forecasting. Stat.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Forecasting seasonal HVACR demand is a pain for HVAC contractors, their customers and distributors alike. Learn the 3 &#8220;S&#8217;s&#8221; plaguing the HVACR supply chain.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":34601,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[60,49],"scp_topic":[185],"sector":[180],"technology":[177],"class_list":{"0":"post-20050","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blog","8":"tag-seasonality","9":"tag-supply-chain-planning","10":"industry-hvac","11":"scp_topic-generic","12":"sector-generic","13":"technology-generic"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20050"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20050\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":34608,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20050\/revisions\/34608"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34601"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20050"},{"taxonomy":"scp_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/scp_topic?post=20050"},{"taxonomy":"sector","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sector?post=20050"},{"taxonomy":"technology","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blueridgeglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/technology?post=20050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}